The Career Decisions of Young Men

by: Michael P Keane, Kenneth I Wolpin

The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 105, No. 3. (1997), pp. 473-522.

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Abstract

This paper provides structural estimates of a dynamic model of schooling, work, and occupational choice decisions based on 11 years of observations on a sample of young men from the 1979 youth cohort of the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience (NLSY). The structural estimation framework that we adopt fully imposes the restrictions of the theory and permits an investigation of whether such a theoretically restricted model can succeed in quantitatively fitting the observed data patterns. We find that a suitably extended human capital investment model can in fact do an excellent job of fitting observed data on school attendance, work, occupational choices, and wages in the NLSY data on young men and also produces reasonable forecasts of future work decisions and wage patterns.

@article{citeulike:2397755, abstract = {This paper provides structural estimates of a dynamic model of schooling, work, and occupational choice decisions based on 11 years of observations on a sample of young men from the 1979 youth cohort of the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience (NLSY). The structural estimation framework that we adopt fully imposes the restrictions of the theory and permits an investigation of whether such a theoretically restricted model can succeed in quantitatively fitting the observed data patterns. We find that a suitably extended human capital investment model can in fact do an excellent job of fitting observed data on school attendance, work, occupational choices, and wages in the NLSY data on young men and also produces reasonable forecasts of future work decisions and wage patterns.}, author = {Keane, Michael P. and Wolpin, Kenneth I. }, citeulike-article-id = {2397755}, doi = {10.2307/2138849}, journal = {The Journal of Political Economy}, keywords = {econometrics, freakonomics}, number = {3}, pages = {473--522}, posted-at = {2008-05-30 22:41:05}, priority = {2}, title = {The Career Decisions of Young Men}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2138849}, volume = {105}, year = {1997} }

RIS record

TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:2397755 L3 - citeulike-article-id:2397755 TI - The Career Decisions of Young Men JF - The Journal of Political Economy VL - 105 IS - 3 SP - 473 EP - 522 N2 - This paper provides structural estimates of a dynamic model of schooling, work, and occupational choice decisions based on 11 years of observations on a sample of young men from the 1979 youth cohort of the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience (NLSY). The structural estimation framework that we adopt fully imposes the restrictions of the theory and permits an investigation of whether such a theoretically restricted model can succeed in quantitatively fitting the observed data patterns. We find that a suitably extended human capital investment model can in fact do an excellent job of fitting observed data on school attendance, work, occupational choices, and wages in the NLSY data on young men and also produces reasonable forecasts of future work decisions and wage patterns. KW - econometrics KW - freakonomics AU - Keane, Michael AU - Wolpin, Kenneth PY - 1997/// UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2138849 ER -

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